Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.536119 3.853193 4.220420 4.687067 5.280440 6.036008 7.123006
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.114916 3.503035 3.987620 4.666359 5.653027 7.171316 10.131716
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.828991 3.233659 3.759565 4.538585 5.771915 7.956997 13.710307
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.704998 3.142516 3.734889 4.667106 6.299103 9.807973 27.206776
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.522855 2.950316 3.538972 4.489839 6.233606 10.387336 48.570630
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.369495 2.782755 3.358149 4.303801 6.094171 10.697420 132.423339
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.264495 2.673209 3.250000 4.218634 6.129575 11.599615 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.226126 2.652711 3.269856 4.349557 6.662964 15.203974 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.210958 2.662862 3.335639 4.572122 7.525104 24.961120 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.155959 2.610591 3.297401 4.593004 7.885371 37.377553 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.111130 2.570197 3.274126 4.638692 8.353782 88.552835 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.027081 2.466843 3.140393 4.443291 7.970851 76.169220 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.981959 2.422421 3.105216 4.456004 8.339540 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.934614 2.372414 3.057397 4.436607 8.603317 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.875561 2.301813 2.970208 4.321752 8.455456 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.857750 2.293285 2.987560 4.437271 9.327278 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.799389 2.219582 2.887986 4.277836 8.904017 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.742551 2.146710 2.787273 4.109729 8.414354 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.702577 2.098897 2.728250 4.032503 8.328177 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.694396 2.100017 2.754014 4.151149 9.233270 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.696979 2.117907 2.810310 4.351933 10.881603 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.674977 2.095811 2.793229 4.370712 11.497323 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 1.656858 2.079228 2.785204 4.411765 12.378764 NaN NaN